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UK Logistics Confidence Index

Barclays and Moore Stephens, in conjunction with specialist sector research agency Analytiqa, have undertaken the latest in our series of surveys to assess confidence and expectations in the UK logistics sector.

The Logistics Confidence Index has fallen from 56.7 in 2017 to 52.6 in 2018. This puts industry confidence close to the lowest ever levels seen – in 2012 and 2015. A look at the overall Index trend shows a steady decline since 2013, except for a temporary reversal in 2016/17.

While the consensus suggests that most think the market conditions will become more difficult in the year ahead, the Index remains marginally positive, at above 50, and more than half of companies still say they expect to increase profits in the year ahead – suggesting that there is still a degree of optimism among operators.

Uncertainty over Brexit and driver shortages dominate respondents’ concerns, while our research shows that the sector is making efforts to address the skills shortage, and operators are increasing focus on value-added services in a competitive environment. As the sector continues to work towards overcoming the series of testing issues that it has faced throughout the years, the logistics sector will undoubtedly show the same tenacity which has seen it through in the past.